Dollar consolidates gains, cable may break higher.
June 13th – The dollar has consolidated gains through the Asian session as speculation continues to build that US inflationary pressures will leave the Fed with little option but to maintain the hawkish stance over interest rates for some time yet. There are key numbers due out later in the session – most notably the US PPI although the retail sales reading and business inventories are also due – and assuming last month’s growth is repeated here too, then traders may take this as a signal to lead the greenback higher still. Worthy of note however is the UK CPI reading that’s due in the next few hours after yesterday’s PPI data showed that higher input prices are now clearly filtering up the supply chain. Any suggestion that the Bank of England will have to tighten its interest rates in the near term to counter inflationary pressures in the UK might start to lend some degree of support to the Pound which is now sitting well below the mid-May highs of 1.90 against the dollar, but this may prove short lived assuming UK and US Interest rates continue to diverge as 2006 progresses…
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